Glossary > —D— > Double Exponential Smoothing Forecast Method
Double Exponential Smoothing Forecast Method
This forecast method smooths the old average and the new average together rather than simply replacing the old average with the new. It computes the base trend using smoothing constants α (alpha) and β (beta). Double Exponential Smoothing is more appropriate forecast method when seasonality is not a significant factor. It requires the Double Exponential Smoothing global setting value plus three months of demand history. If less than the double exponential smoothing global setting value plus 3 months of demand history are available, then the application will use Single Exponential Smoothing and post a Review Board record.
In addition to α (alpha) and β (beta), Double Exponential Smoothing accepts the trend-dampening constant φ (phi) as an input. Phi reduces the effect the trend has on future forecasts.
* 
Each forecast method has constraints, called best fit rules that may make it ineligible for forecasting.
Refer to the EXP_SMOOTHING_HIST_AVG_BASE global setting for details on how to specify the initialization of the base forecast.
Was this helpful?